MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Mike Burrows
week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY-LOW
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Mike Burrows

HOU·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Burrows is a buy-low — ERA is BABIP noise, not skill.

ERA ugly but the underlying skill is fine and the BABIP-against is unsustainable. Buy low.

Buy Low
high0.90

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.315 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.0%
36.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL197 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.6%
8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL197 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.320
.320
lg avg .315 ▲+.005trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL275 / 200 TBF
xERA4.11
4.11
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.01trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL275 / 200 TBF
ERA5.40
5.40
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.30too early to trust
NOISE63.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %19.6%
19.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL275 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.6%
7.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL275 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.315
.315
lg avg .295 ▲+.020too early to trust
NOISE197 / 800 BIP