MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Mike Burrows
Mike Burrows
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mike Burrows wins 2 (K, ERA); Steven Matz wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mike Burrows
95.0
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
11.5%
Steven Matz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
18.6%
Steven Matz
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
32.7%
Steven Matz
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mike Burrows
38.0%
Steven Matz
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mike Burrows
9.0%
Steven Matz
13.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mike Burrows
.336
Steven Matz
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mike Burrows
4.145.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
4.50
Steven Matz
4.145.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.17
WHIPlower is better
Mike Burrows
1.161.53
now 1.45
1.41
Steven Matz
1.161.53
now 1.24
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mike Burrows
4089.60
now 54
74
Steven Matz
4089.60
now 35
63
Winshigher is better
Mike Burrows
.60011.40
now 3
35
Steven Matz
.60011.40
now 4
49

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellMike Burrows — hold.conf 0.60
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
Tweet