MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Mike Burrows
Mike Burrows
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Mike Burrows.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Steven Matz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mike Burrows wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Steven Matz wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mike Burrows
95.0
Steven Matz
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
10.7%
Steven Matz
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
17.7%
Steven Matz
17.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
32.3%
Steven Matz
28.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mike Burrows
38.8%
Steven Matz
34.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mike Burrows
8.4%
Steven Matz
11.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mike Burrows
.335
Steven Matz
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mike Burrows
4.205.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
4.54
Steven Matz
4.205.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
4.78
WHIPlower is better
Mike Burrows
1.161.53
now 1.45
1.41
Steven Matz
1.161.53
now 1.24
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mike Burrows
4071.60
now 54
12
Steven Matz
4071.60
now 35
10
Winshigher is better
Mike Burrows
.0005.60
now 3
01
Steven Matz
.0005.60
now 4
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellMike Burrows — hold.conf 0.60
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.86
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