MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer
LAD · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Eric Lauer wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Steven Matz wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eric Lauer
90.9
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
9.4%
Steven Matz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
14.5%
Steven Matz
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
32.2%
Steven Matz
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
35.5%
Steven Matz
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
10.9%
Steven Matz
13.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eric Lauer
.341
Steven Matz
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eric Lauer
4.136.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.95
4.65
Steven Matz
4.136.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.22
WHIPlower is better
Eric Lauer
1.171.46
now 1.39
1.36
Steven Matz
1.171.46
now 1.24
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eric Lauer
4060.80
now 30
50
Steven Matz
4060.80
now 35
52
Winshigher is better
Eric Lauer
.00010.40
now 2
24
Steven Matz
.00010.40
now 4
38

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellEric Lauer — sell.conf 0.80
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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