MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer
LAD · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Eric Lauer’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Eric Lauer wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eric Lauer
91.0
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
9.3%
Matt Waldron
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
14.7%
Matt Waldron
19.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
32.4%
Matt Waldron
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
35.5%
Matt Waldron
39.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
11.4%
Matt Waldron
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eric Lauer
.341
Matt Waldron
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eric Lauer
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.95
4.66
Matt Waldron
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.09
WHIPlower is better
Eric Lauer
1.141.87
now 1.39
1.33
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eric Lauer
4035.60
now 30
28
Matt Waldron
4035.60
now 22
29
Winshigher is better
Eric Lauer
.5202.48
now 2
12
Matt Waldron
.5202.48
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellEric Lauer — sell.conf 0.81
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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