MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Matt Waldron
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Steven Matz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Steven Matz wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Waldron
92.0
Steven Matz
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Steven Matz
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
17.0%
Steven Matz
17.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
31.5%
Steven Matz
28.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Waldron
36.5%
Steven Matz
34.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Waldron
5.4%
Steven Matz
11.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Waldron
.292
Steven Matz
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Waldron
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.08
Steven Matz
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
4.78
WHIPlower is better
Matt Waldron
1.051.90
now 1.71
1.30
Steven Matz
1.051.90
now 1.24
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Waldron
4045
now 22
11
Steven Matz
4045
now 35
10
Winshigher is better
Matt Waldron
.0005.60
now 1
01
Steven Matz
.0005.60
now 4
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.86
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