Rest of Season Projection
JoseCategoryMike
57K →87
4.25ERA ←4.50
1.36WHIP ←1.41
3–6W3–6
0SV0
Current Season
JoseCategoryMike
20K →54
5.27ERA ←5.40
1.51WHIP →1.45
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jose Quintana
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.91)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mike Burrows
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — the 5.77 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.72 is +0.62 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Jose Quintana: 57 K / 4.25 ERA. Mike Burrows: 87 K / 4.50 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).