MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Mike Burrows
Mike Burrows
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Mike Burrows.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mike Burrows wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Ryne Nelson wins 1 (WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mike Burrows
95.0
Ryne Nelson
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
10.7%
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
17.7%
Ryne Nelson
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
32.3%
Ryne Nelson
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mike Burrows
38.8%
Ryne Nelson
43.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mike Burrows
8.4%
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mike Burrows
.336
Ryne Nelson
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mike Burrows
4.225.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
4.56
Ryne Nelson
4.225.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.84
WHIPlower is better
Mike Burrows
1.091.55
now 1.45
1.41
Ryne Nelson
1.091.55
now 1.19
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mike Burrows
4059.60
now 54
50
Ryne Nelson
4059.60
now 52
44
Winshigher is better
Mike Burrows
.0005.20
now 3
24
Ryne Nelson
.0005.20
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellMike Burrows — hold.conf 0.60
SellRyne Nelson — sell.conf 0.89
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