Rest of Season Projection
MartínCategoryMike
72K →99
4.24ERA ←4.38
1.33WHIP ←1.40
4–8W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
MartínCategoryMike
42K →54
2.79ERA ←5.40
1.06WHIP ←1.45
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Martín Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.228 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.32 is 1.53 above the ERA — regression coming
Mike Burrows
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.322 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Martín Pérez: 72 K / 4.24 ERA. Mike Burrows: 99 K / 4.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).