MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Mike Burrows
Mike Burrows
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mike Burrows wins 2 (K, ERA); Mitch Keller wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mike Burrows
95.0
Mitch Keller
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
10.7%
Mitch Keller
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
17.7%
Mitch Keller
17.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mike Burrows
32.3%
Mitch Keller
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mike Burrows
38.8%
Mitch Keller
42.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mike Burrows
8.4%
Mitch Keller
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mike Burrows
.336
Mitch Keller
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mike Burrows
3.935.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
4.56
Mitch Keller
3.935.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.93
WHIPlower is better
Mike Burrows
1.061.56
now 1.45
1.41
Mitch Keller
1.061.56
now 1.17
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mike Burrows
4059.60
now 54
51
Mitch Keller
4059.60
now 51
45
Winshigher is better
Mike Burrows
.4007.60
now 3
24
Mitch Keller
.4007.60
now 5
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellMike Burrows — hold.conf 0.60
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.90
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