MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mitch Keller wins 2 (WHIP, W); Tyler Mahle wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mitch Keller
93.4
Tyler Mahle
92.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
9.8%
Tyler Mahle
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
17.9%
Tyler Mahle
21.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mitch Keller
30.0%
Tyler Mahle
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
42.1%
Tyler Mahle
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mitch Keller
6.8%
Tyler Mahle
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mitch Keller
.345
Tyler Mahle
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mitch Keller
3.386.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.75
Tyler Mahle
3.386.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
4.14
WHIPlower is better
Mitch Keller
1.021.69
now 1.17
1.36
Tyler Mahle
1.021.69
now 1.54
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mitch Keller
4065.40
now 51
36
Tyler Mahle
4065.40
now 57
45
Winshigher is better
Mitch Keller
.0007
now 5
25
Tyler Mahle
.0007
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.85
Hold · steadyTyler Mahle — hold.conf 0.60
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