MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer
LAD · P
Change to
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Eric Lauer wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Mitch Keller wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eric Lauer
91.0
Mitch Keller
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
9.4%
Mitch Keller
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
15.3%
Mitch Keller
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
32.6%
Mitch Keller
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
35.0%
Mitch Keller
42.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
11.2%
Mitch Keller
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eric Lauer
.333
Mitch Keller
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eric Lauer
3.716.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.95
4.50
Mitch Keller
3.716.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.76
WHIPlower is better
Eric Lauer
1.081.48
now 1.39
1.32
Mitch Keller
1.081.48
now 1.17
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eric Lauer
4059.40
now 30
34
Mitch Keller
4059.40
now 51
38
Winshigher is better
Eric Lauer
.0006.60
now 2
13
Mitch Keller
.0006.60
now 5
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellEric Lauer — sell.conf 0.74
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.85
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