MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Kodai Senga
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kodai Senga.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Mitch Keller’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kodai Senga wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Mitch Keller wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kodai Senga
96.2
Mitch Keller
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
13.1%
Mitch Keller
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
25.3%
Mitch Keller
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
26.7%
Mitch Keller
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
38.9%
Mitch Keller
42.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
13.3%
Mitch Keller
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kodai Senga
.354
Mitch Keller
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kodai Senga
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
4.10
Mitch Keller
2.148.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.76
WHIPlower is better
Kodai Senga
.9002.26
now 1.95
1.30
Mitch Keller
.9002.26
now 1.17
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kodai Senga
4062.20
now 23
42
Mitch Keller
4062.20
now 51
38
Winshigher is better
Kodai Senga
.0007
now 0
00
Mitch Keller
.0007
now 5
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeKodai Senga — hold.conf 0.55
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.85
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