MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
CWS · P
Change to
Kodai Senga
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kodai Senga.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Anthony Kay’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kodai Senga wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Anthony Kay wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Anthony Kay
95.8
Kodai Senga
96.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
10.9%
Kodai Senga
13.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
18.6%
Kodai Senga
25.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
33.1%
Kodai Senga
26.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
39.5%
Kodai Senga
38.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
8.8%
Kodai Senga
13.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Anthony Kay
.346
Kodai Senga
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Anthony Kay
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
4.79
Kodai Senga
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Anthony Kay
1.042.21
now 1.40
1.38
Kodai Senga
1.042.21
now 1.95
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Anthony Kay
4051
now 42
34
Kodai Senga
4051
now 23
43
Winshigher is better
Anthony Kay
.0007
now 5
35
Kodai Senga
.0007
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAnthony Kay — sell.conf 0.87
Hold · wait & seeKodai Senga — hold.conf 0.55
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