week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Kodai Senga
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.74); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 86ERA 4.10WHIP 1.30W 0–0SV 0
Senga is a hold — limited data, near league average.
ROS projects K 23 YTD → 86 ROS, ERA 9.00 YTD → 4.10 ROS, WHIP 1.95 YTD → 1.30 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.7%—−2.8% ▼vs his ~26.5% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.74)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.0%
lg avg 40.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
60 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed10.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —
60 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.339
lg avg .315 ▲+.024vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
97 / 200 TBF
xERA4.74
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.64vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
97 / 200 TBF
ERA9.00
lg avg 4.10 ▲+4.90vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
20 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm −2.8% ▼
97 / 70 TBF
Walk %13.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.4%vs his norm +2.1% ▲Walk % is above his ~11.3% norm — expect it to fall.
97 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.382
lg avg .295 ▲+.087vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
60 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.7%→25.6%signal86 K — K% 23.7% (signal) lifted to career ~26.5% → projected 25.6% over ~69 remaining IP.
xERA 4.74noise4.10 ERA — xERA 4.74 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 4.10 at 20 IP.
BB% 13.4% + contactnoise1.30 WHIP — a 13% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.301 gives a 1.58 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep86 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.