NYM

xwOBA .411 tops league, and 13.5% K backs it

96 mph fastball, 26% K rate, xERA 3.63 backs it

28.3% K rate backs the 3.70 xERA, not luck

xwOBA .330 outruns .309 wOBA; 18.2% Ks support the bat

49.5% hard-hit with a .331 xwOBA — the contact is real.

4.43 ERA masks 3.22 xERA; .377 BABIP-against won't hold

3.42 ERA hides 4.51 xERA; only 18.7% K rate

BABIP-against .197 against a .295 league norm — regression inbound.

11.6% strikeout rate, yet xERA 7.72 says it's earned.

32.9% Ks real, but .229 BABIP-against won't hold

14.5% walk rate — 5.37 xERA has real command problem behind it

xwOBA allowed .333 with zero luck gap to blame

xERA 4.66 outpaces his 4.11 ERA — regression owed.

86.8 mph exit velo and 33% hard-hit — soft contact, no gap to blame.