MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Jared Young
311 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL

Jared Young

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.310); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .215HR 0R 5RBI 3SB 0

Young is a hold — league-average skill, no luck driving the line.

His expected wOBA is .310, which is .005 below the league average of .315, and he has 311 plate appearances — past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .332, but that difference is small and his batted-ball numbers don't show a hidden skill spike. His hard-hit rate is 45.3%, above league average, and his strikeout rate of 19.6% is better than league. But his barrel rate of 6.7% sits below league, and his xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample. There is no unstable stat inflating or deflating his line. The profile is roughly league average and stable. Hold.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.310)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.9 mph
believable since Jun 1289.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +0.9 mphvs his norm —
223 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.3%
45.3%*
lg avg 40.0% +5.3%vs his norm —
223 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.7%
6.7%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.3%vs his norm —
223 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.310
.310*
lg avg .315 −.005vs his norm —
311 / 160 PA
wOBA.332
.332*
lg avg .315 +.017vs his norm —
311 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.6%
19.6%*
lg avg 22.0% −2.4%vs his norm —
311 / 60 PA
Walk %6.8%
6.8%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.7%vs his norm —
311 / 120 PA
BABIP.312
.312*
lg avg .295 +.017vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league averageexpect it to fall.
223 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.8%
11.8%*
lg avg 11.0% +0.8%vs his norm —
311 / 50 PA
Chase %28.0%
28.0%*
lg avg 28.5% −0.5%vs his norm —
311 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.7%→7.0%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.7% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 7.0%.
BABIP 0.312→0.272 regressednoise.215 AVG — BABIP 0.312 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.257 (xBA 0.243) → 0.272.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~30 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~30 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 17 G) over ~30 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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