161 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Jared Young
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.326); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .214HR 4R 21RBI 12SB 0
Young is a hold — league average, stable, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 4 ROS, AVG .306 YTD → .214 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.326)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.9 mphvs his norm —
110 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.4%vs his norm —
110 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —
110 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.326
lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —
161 / 160 PA
wOBA.327
lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
161 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —
161 / 60 PA
Walk %8.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
161 / 120 PA
BABIP.279
lg avg .295 ▼−.016vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
110 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
161 / 50 PA
Chase %27.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
161 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.9%→10.3%signal4 HR — Barrel% 10.9% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 10.3%.
BABIP 0.279→0.254 regressednoise.214 AVG — BABIP 0.279 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.250 (xBA 0.238) → 0.254.
on-base + lineup21 R — his run rate over ~128 projected PA.
slugging + lineup12 RBI — his RBI rate over ~128 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 17 G) over ~128 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.