MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
145 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Jorge Polanco

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.234); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Polanco is a hold — league average, and the sample says little yet.

ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .179 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.0%—−6.7% ▼vs his ~10.7% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.234)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.0 mph
86.0 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.0 mphvs his norm —
100 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %31.0%
31.0%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.0%vs his norm —
100 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.0%
norm4.0%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm −6.7% ▼
100 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.234
.234*
lg avg .315 ▼−.081vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
145 / 160 PA
wOBA.196
.196*
lg avg .315 ▼−.119vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
145 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.8%
24.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
145 / 60 PA
Walk %6.2%
6.2%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —
145 / 120 PA
BABIP.186
norm.186*
lg avg .295 ▼−.109vs his norm −.095 ▼BABIP is below his ~.281 norm — expect it to rise.
100 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.8%
10.8%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
145 / 50 PA
Chase %30.1%
30.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
145 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.0%→8.5%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.0% (signal) lifted to career ~10.7% → projected 8.5%.
BABIP 0.186→0.225 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.186 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.189) → 0.225.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 14 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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