MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
101 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Jorge Polanco

data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.235); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .199R 7RBI 4SB 0

Polanco is a hold — league-average skill, no edge either way.

ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .179 YTD → .199 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %2.8%−7.9%vs his ~10.7% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.235)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.3 mph
85.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −3.7 mphvs his norm —
72 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.2%
29.2%*
lg avg 40.0% −10.8%vs his norm —
72 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.8%
norm2.8%*
lg avg 8.0% −5.2%vs his norm −7.9%
72 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.235
.235*
lg avg .315 −.080vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
101 / 160 PA
wOBA.198
.198*
lg avg .315 −.117vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
101 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.8%
21.8%*
lg avg 22.0% −0.2%vs his norm —
101 / 60 PA
Walk %6.9%
6.9%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.6%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league averageexpect it to rise.
101 / 120 PA
BABIP.183
norm.183*
lg avg .295 −.112vs his norm −.098 BABIP is below his ~.281 normexpect it to rise.
72 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.4%
10.4%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.6%vs his norm —
101 / 50 PA
Chase %31.1%
31.1%*
lg avg 28.5% +2.6%vs his norm —
101 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.8%→8.6%signal3 HR — Barrel% 2.8% (signal) lifted to career ~10.7% → projected 8.6%.
BABIP 0.183→0.226 regressednoise.199 AVG — BABIP 0.183 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.195) → 0.226.
on-base + lineup7 R — his run rate over ~136 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~136 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 14 G) over ~136 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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