262 PA · week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY-LOW
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Bo Bichette
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Bichette is a buy-low — BABIP is the culprit.
His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample, now at 45.5% — well above the league average of 40.0% — and he has logged 200 batted-ball events, past the stabilization point. His average exit velocity is 90.9 mph, nearly two ticks above league average. The underlying contact quality says the bat is fine. The problem is a .241 BABIP, suppressed by 54 points against a league average of .295. BABIP needs about 800 balls in play to be reliable; he has 200, so that gap is noise, not a decline. His expected wOBA is .330, 70 points higher than his actual wOBA and above the .315 league mark. The slump is BABIP-driven, and BABIP regresses. Buy low.
Buy Low
med0.74
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.241 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.9 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL200 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL200 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL200 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.330
lg avg .315 ▲+.015trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 160 PA
wOBA.260
lg avg .315 ▼−.055trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 60 PA
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL262 / 120 PA
BABIP.241
lg avg .295 ▼−.054too early to trust
NOISE200 / 800 BIP