week 13
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Tobias Myers
data as of June 19, 2026·week 13
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.62); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 34ERA 3.69WHIP 1.25W 0–0SV 0–2
Myers is a hold — league average with no edge either way.
ROS projects K 27 YTD → 34 ROS, ERA 5.71 YTD → 3.69 ROS, WHIP 1.24 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %18.6%—−2.0% ▼vs his ~20.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.62)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed43.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
108 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
108 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.299
lg avg .315 ▼−.016vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
145 / 200 TBF
xERA3.62
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.48vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
145 / 200 TBF
ERA5.71
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.61vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
34.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.4%vs his norm −2.0% ▼
145 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.1%vs his norm +0.4% ▲Walk % is above his ~6.5% norm — expect it to fall.
145 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.260
lg avg .295 ▼−.035vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
108 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
145 / 60 TBF
Chase %27.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
145 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo92.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphvs his norm —
503 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 18.6%→19.7%signal34 K — K% 18.6% (signal) lifted to career ~20.6% → projected 19.7% over ~41 remaining IP.
xERA 3.62noise3.69 ERA — xERA 3.62 (noise) blended 13% skill / 87% league 3.70 at 35 IP.
BB% 6.9% + contactnoise1.25 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.290 gives a 1.33 skill WHIP, blended 13…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-2 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.69 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.