week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Jonah Tong
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.13); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Tong is a hold — a league-average arm on limited data
ROS projects K 3 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %25.4%—+2.2% ▲vs his ~23.2% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.13)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.1%vs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —
84 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.274
lg avg .315 ▼−.041vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
134 / 200 TBF
xERA3.13
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.97vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
134 / 200 TBF
ERA3.81
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.29vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
30.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm +2.2% ▲
134 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm −0.6% ▼Walk % is below his ~11.0% norm — expect it to rise.
134 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.272
lg avg .295 ▼−.023vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
84 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —
134 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
134 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.9 mphvs his norm —
539 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 25.4%→24.1%signal0 K — K% 25.4% (signal) tempered to career ~23.2% → projected 24.1% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.13noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.13 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 7 IP.
BB% 10.4% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.293 gives a 1.37 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.