week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Christian Scott
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (4.10); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 54ERA 4.10WHIP 1.31W 1–2SV 0
Scott is a hold — league average, nothing to exploit.
ROS projects K 38 YTD → 54 ROS, ERA 2.97 YTD → 4.10 ROS, WHIP 1.38 YTD → 1.31 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %28.5%—+5.3% ▲vs his ~23.2% career norm
- Walk %10.3%—+1.9% ▲vs his ~8.4% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.10)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.0%vs his norm —
150 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
150 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.314
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —
253 / 200 TBF
xERA4.10
lg avg 4.10 0.00vs his norm —
253 / 200 TBF
ERA2.87
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.23vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
59.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %28.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.5%vs his norm +5.3% ▲
253 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm +1.9% ▲
253 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.280
lg avg .295 ▼−.015vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
150 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
253 / 60 TBF
Chase %28.5%
lg avg 28.5% 0.0%vs his norm —
253 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.4 mphvs his norm —
1078 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 28.5%→26.2%signal54 K — K% 28.5% (signal) tempered to career ~23.2% → projected 26.2% over ~47 remaining…
xERA 4.10signal4.10 ERA — xERA 4.10 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 30 IP.
BB% 10.3% + contactsignal1.31 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.292 gives a 1.31 skill WHIP, blended 6…
run support + role1-2 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop54 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.