318 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Marcus Semien
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.316); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 4AVG .234R 19RBI 19SB 4
Semien is a hold — league average, nothing to buy or sell.
ROS projects HR 6 YTD → 4 ROS, AVG .228 YTD → .234 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %8.0%—+1.4% ▲vs his ~6.6% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.316)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.8 mphvs his norm —
226 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —
226 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.0%
lg avg 8.0% 0.0%vs his norm +1.4% ▲
226 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.316
lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —
318 / 160 PA
wOBA.271
lg avg .315 ▼−.044vs his norm —
318 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
318 / 60 PA
Walk %7.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
318 / 120 PA
BABIP.245
lg avg .295 ▼−.050vs his norm −.021 ▼BABIP is below his ~.266 norm — expect it to rise.
226 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
318 / 50 PA
Chase %29.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —
318 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.0%→7.3%signal4 HR — Barrel% 8.0% (signal) tempered to career ~6.6% → projected 7.3%.
BABIP 0.245→0.280 regressednoise.234 AVG — BABIP 0.245 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.294 (xBA 0.255) → 0.280.
on-base + lineup19 R — his run rate over ~191 projected PA.
slugging + lineup19 RBI — his RBI rate over ~191 projected PA.
run rate / role4 SB — his steal rate (5 in 60 G) over ~191 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.