332 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Brett Baty
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.307); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 4AVG .230R 20RBI 21SB 2
Baty is a hold — league average with a declining trajectory.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 4 ROS, AVG .233 YTD → .230 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %8.6%—−1.0% ▼vs his ~9.6% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.6 mphvs his norm —
209 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
209 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm −1.0% ▼
209 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.307
lg avg .315 ▼−.008vs his norm —
332 / 160 PA
wOBA.281
lg avg .315 ▼−.034vs his norm —
332 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —
332 / 60 PA
Walk %9.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
332 / 120 PA
BABIP.299
lg avg .295 ▲+.004vs his norm +.007 ▲BABIP is above his ~.292 norm — expect it to fall.
209 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —
332 / 50 PA
Chase %28.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
332 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.6%→9.1%signal4 HR — Barrel% 8.6% (signal) lifted to career ~9.6% → projected 9.1%.
BABIP 0.299→0.310 regressednoise.230 AVG — BABIP 0.299 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.314 (xBA 0.237) → 0.310.
on-base + lineup20 R — his run rate over ~179 projected PA.
slugging + lineup21 RBI — his RBI rate over ~179 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (2 in 56 G) over ~179 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.