Rest of Season Projection
BrettCategoryRyan
10HR →11
37R ←31
39RBI ←36
3SB →6
.236AVG ←.207
Current Season
BrettCategoryRyan
3HR →6
22R ←16
23RBI ←19
2SB →3
.233AVG ←.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brett Baty
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ryan McMahon
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Baty's .236 AVG leads McMahon's .207, despite McMahon's slight HR lead (11 vs 10). The batting average gap is the story; hold Baty, sell McMahon.