Rest of Season Projection
BrettCategoryMatt
10HR →13
37R →42
39RBI ←32
3SB ←0
.236AVG ←.228
Current Season
BrettCategoryMatt
3HR ←2
22R →27
23RBI ←21
2SB ←0
.233AVG.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brett Baty
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Matt Chapman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.269 below league with no luck excuse
Baty projects 10 HR / 39 RBI vs Chapman's 13 HR / 32 RBI; Chapman leads in power, Baty in RBI. Verdicts: hold for Baty, sell for Chapman.