Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryMatt
9HR →13
41R →42
27RBI →32
3SB ←0
.256AVG ←.228
Current Season
AlexCategoryMatt
5HR ←2
28R ←27
18RBI →21
2SB ←0
.259AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Bregman
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
Matt Chapman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.269 below league with no luck excuse
Bregman projects for 9 HR / .256 AVG; Chapman for 13 HR / .228 AVG. The power edge goes to Chapman, but Bregman's higher average and hold verdict make him the safer play.