MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHC · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SF · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Alex Bregman wins 2 (SB, AVG); Matt Chapman wins 2 (HR, RBI); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Alex Bregman
88.0
Matt Chapman
88.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Alex Bregman
36.8%
Matt Chapman
35.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Alex Bregman
4.2%
Matt Chapman
6.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Alex Bregman
21.6%
Matt Chapman
26.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Alex Bregman
6.6%
Matt Chapman
10.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Alex Bregman
.310
Matt Chapman
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Alex Bregman
.210.270
lg AVG .295
now .259
.229
Matt Chapman
.210.270
lg AVG .295
now .234
.222

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Alex Bregman
56.20
now 5
2
Matt Chapman
56.20
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Alex Bregman
2032.80
now 28
16
Matt Chapman
2032.80
now 27
16
RBIhigher is better
Alex Bregman
2025.40
now 18
10
Matt Chapman
2025.40
now 21
12
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Alex Bregman
.0003.20
now 2
1
Matt Chapman
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAlex Bregman — hold.conf 0.60
SellMatt Chapman — sell.conf 0.61
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