MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SF · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 5 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Austin Riley wins 0 (none); Matt Chapman wins 0 (none); 5 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
91.2
Matt Chapman
88.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
44.0%
Matt Chapman
35.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
12.6%
Matt Chapman
6.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.5%
Matt Chapman
26.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.6%
Matt Chapman
10.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.301
Matt Chapman
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .209
.000
Matt Chapman
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .234
.000

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
511.20
now 8
0
Matt Chapman
511.20
now 2
0
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
2042
now 30
0
Matt Chapman
2042
now 27
0
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
2044.80
now 32
0
Matt Chapman
2044.80
now 21
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
.0004.20
now 3
0
Matt Chapman
.0004.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAustin Riley — hold.conf 0.60
SellMatt Chapman — sell.conf 0.61
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