MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYM · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZ · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Brett Baty.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average. Nolan Arenado’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Brett Baty wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Nolan Arenado wins 2 (R, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Brett Baty
89.6
Nolan Arenado
85.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Brett Baty
39.7%
Nolan Arenado
33.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Brett Baty
8.6%
Nolan Arenado
7.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Brett Baty
28.2%
Nolan Arenado
31.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Brett Baty
13.7%
Nolan Arenado
11.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Brett Baty
.307
Nolan Arenado
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Brett Baty
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .233
.230
Nolan Arenado
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .270
.215

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Brett Baty
510
now 3
4
Nolan Arenado
510
now 8
3
Runshigher is better
Brett Baty
2031.60
now 22
19
Nolan Arenado
2031.60
now 28
24
RBIhigher is better
Brett Baty
2031.20
now 23
20
Nolan Arenado
2031.20
now 28
24
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Brett Baty
.0003.20
now 2
2
Nolan Arenado
.0003.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellBrett Baty — hold.conf 0.60
SellNolan Arenado — sell.conf 0.59
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