Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryBrett
15HR ←10
46R ←37
49RBI ←39
5SB ←3
.215AVG →.233
Current Season
AustinCategoryBrett
8HR ←3
30R ←22
32RBI ←23
3SB ←2
.209AVG →.233
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Riley
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.309)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Brett Baty
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Austin Riley: 15 HR / 46 R. Brett Baty: 10 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).