Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryNolan
15HR ←8
47R47
50RBI ←47
5SB ←2
.210AVG →.246
Current Season
AustinCategoryNolan
8HR8
30R ←28
32RBI ←28
3SB ←1
.209AVG →.270
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Riley
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nolan Arenado
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.336)
Riley edges Arenado on power (15 HR to 8), while Arenado outperforms in AVG (.246 to .210). Even holds; the category spread favors Riley for HR-needy rosters.