week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
Cionel Pérez
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.81); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 12ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 1–4SV 0
Pérez is a hold — league-average with nothing to buy or sell.
ROS projects K 10 YTD → 12 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %20.1%—−0.0% ▼vs his ~20.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.81)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed51.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+11.4%vs his norm —
111 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed13.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.5%vs his norm —
111 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.366
lg avg .315 ▲+.051vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
159 / 200 TBF
xERA5.81
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.71vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
159 / 200 TBF
ERA5.75
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.65vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
36 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm −0.0% ▼
159 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.1%vs his norm −2.3% ▼Walk % is below his ~12.4% norm — expect it to rise.
159 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.317
lg avg .295 ▲+.022vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
111 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
159 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
159 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.7 mphvs his norm —
603 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 20.1%→20.1%signal12 K — K% 20.1% (signal) held to career ~20.1% → projected 20.1% over ~20 remaining IP.
xERA 5.81noise3.70 ERA — xERA 5.81 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 17 IP.
BB% 10.1% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.48 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role1-4 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.