week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
Cionel Pérez
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from SELL-HIGH on October 26, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.19); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0
Pérez is a hold — league average, with nothing wobbling underneath
ROS projects K 10 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 1.59 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %9.6%—−2.8% ▼vs his ~12.4% career norm
- Strikeout %22.2%—+2.1% ▲vs his ~20.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.19)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed49.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+9.6%vs his norm —
135 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed11.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —
135 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.346
lg avg .315 ▲+.031vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
198 / 200 TBF
xERA5.19
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.09vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
198 / 200 TBF
ERA4.76
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.66vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
45.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm +2.1% ▲
198 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm −2.8% ▼
198 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.313
lg avg .295 ▲+.018vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
135 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.7 mphvs his norm —
790 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.2%→21.2%signal0 K — K% 22.2% (signal) tempered to career ~20.1% → projected 21.2% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 5.19noise3.70 ERA — xERA 5.19 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 17 IP.
BB% 9.6% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.42 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.