221 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekHOLD
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Carson Benge
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Benge is a buy — contact quality is elevating his floor.
His hard-hit rate has been climbing all season, now at 45.2%, well above the league mark and already on stable ground after 155 batted balls. That contact quality is translating into a .338 expected wOBA — 23 points above league average and also stepping up over time. His actual wOBA sits at .301, which is actually below what the contact quality suggests, meaning the bounces are slightly suppressing his line rather than inflating it. There is no luck story here; the numbers say the production is real and earned. This is a player whose skill is outpacing his surface results. The sample supports the call. Buy.
Buy
med0.65
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.3 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL155 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL155 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL155 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.338
lg avg .315 ▲+.023trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL221 / 160 PA
wOBA.301
lg avg .315 ▼−.014trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL221 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL221 / 60 PA
Walk %7.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL221 / 120 PA
BABIP.305
lg avg .295 ▲+.010too early to trust
NOISE155 / 800 BIP