
654 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Carson Benge
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.341) — BABIP 0.341 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Benge is a hold — the bat is average, the BABIP is not
ROS projects HR 4 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .248 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.341)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.341 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.2 mphvs his norm —
454 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
454 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
454 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.341
lg avg .315 ▲+.026vs his norm —
654 / 160 PA
wOBA.342
lg avg .315 ▲+.027vs his norm —
654 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
654 / 60 PA
Walk %7.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —
654 / 120 PA
BABIP.341
lg avg .295 ▲+.046vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
454 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
654 / 50 PA
Chase %28.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —
654 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.3%→7.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 7.4%.
BABIP 0.341→0.340 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.341 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.338 (xBA 0.279) → 0.340.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (9 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.