Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategoryRiley
12HR →16
44R →47
33RBI →43
14SB ←2
.277AVG.276
Current Season
CarsonCategoryRiley
4HR →5
28R →31
21RBI →28
9SB ←1
.248AVG →.309
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Benge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.345, +0.030 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Riley Greene
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Carson Benge: 12 HR / 44 R. Riley Greene: 16 HR / 47 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

