Rest of Season Projection
RileyCategoryTrent
16HR16
48R →53
44RBI →50
2SB →6
.274AVG ←.233
Current Season
RileyCategoryTrent
5HR →7
31R →33
28RBI →31
1SB →4
.309AVG ←.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Riley Greene
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.360, +0.045 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Trent Grisham
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.343, +0.028 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Riley Greene: 16 HR / 48 R. Trent Grisham: 16 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).