484 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
Trent Grisham
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Buy stable xwOBA 0.337, +0.022 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.64 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Grisham is a buy — the contact is rising and the results will follow.
Stable, above-average skill with no luck propping it up. Buy.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %9.6%—−3.3% ▼vs his ~12.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.337, +0.022 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.6 mphvs his norm —
333 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —
333 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm −3.3% ▼
333 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.337
lg avg .315 ▲+.022vs his norm —
484 / 160 PA
wOBA.311
lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —
484 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —
484 / 60 PA
Walk %12.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
484 / 120 PA
BABIP.222
lg avg .295 ▼−.073vs his norm −.030 ▼BABIP is below his ~.252 norm — expect it to rise.
333 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm —
484 / 50 PA
Chase %19.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−9.3%vs his norm —
484 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.6%→10.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 9.6% (signal) lifted to career ~12.9% → projected 10.9%.
BABIP 0.222→0.247 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.222 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.265 (xBA 0.245) → 0.247.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (4 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.