Is Trent Grisham a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Trent Grisham's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .337 beats his .311 wOBA — 45% hard-hit.

484 PA · week 25

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Trent Grisham

NYY·CF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

ON THE 10-DAY IL

Buy stable xwOBA 0.337, +0.022 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.64

ROSHR 1AVG .213R 6RBI 6SB 1

Grisham is a buy — the discipline and contact are both real.

His expected wOBA is .337, .022 above the league average, and he has 484 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample and now sits at 45.3%, above a league average of 40.0% and based on 333 batted balls. His actual wOBA is .311, below his expected mark, so he has been getting less than his contact deserves rather than more. The plate skills confirm it: an 18.4% strikeout rate, a 12.6% walk rate, and a 19.2% chase rate all better than league. His approach is stable, his contact is stable, and his results are trailing both. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %9.6%—−3.3% ▼vs his ~12.9% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.337, +0.022 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.6 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.6 mphvs his norm —

333 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %45.3%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —

333 / 50 BBE

Barrel %9.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm −3.3% ▼

333 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.337

lg avg .315 ▲+.022vs his norm —

484 / 160 PA

wOBA.311

lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —

484 / 200 PA

Strikeout %18.4%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —

484 / 60 PA

Walk %12.6%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —

484 / 120 PA

BABIP.222

lg avg .295 ▼−.073vs his norm −.030 ▼BABIP is below his ~.252 norm — expect it to rise.

333 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %7.1%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm —

484 / 50 PA

Chase %19.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−9.3%vs his norm —

484 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 9.6%→10.9%signal1 HR — Barrel% 9.6% (signal) lifted to career ~12.9% → projected 10.9%.

BABIP 0.222→0.247 regressednoise.213 AVG — BABIP 0.222 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.265 (xBA 0.245) → 0.247.

on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~42 projected PA.

slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~42 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (4 in 57 G) over ~42 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons