Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategoryJarren
12HR12
43R →44
33RBI →50
14SB →15
.276AVG ←.216
Current Season
CarsonCategoryJarren
4HR →10
28R →29
21RBI →33
9SB →10
.248AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Benge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.345, +0.030 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.303)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Carson Benge: 12 HR / 43 R. Jarren Duran: 12 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).