Rest of Season Projection
JarrenCategoryJo
12HR →17
45R ←34
51RBI →53
16SB ←5
.219AVG →.262
Current Season
JarrenCategoryJo
10HR ←9
29R ←22
33RBI →34
10SB ←3
.219AVG →.236
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.308)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jo Adell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.272 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jarren Duran: 12 HR / 45 R. Jo Adell: 17 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).