MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOS · LF
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MIN · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Jarren Duran wins 2 (RBI, SB); Trevor Larnach wins 2 (R, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jarren Duran
89.2
Trevor Larnach
87.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jarren Duran
38.0%
Trevor Larnach
34.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jarren Duran
9.8%
Trevor Larnach
7.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jarren Duran
34.6%
Trevor Larnach
29.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jarren Duran
17.0%
Trevor Larnach
10.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jarren Duran
.293
Trevor Larnach
.335
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jarren Duran
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .219
.201
Trevor Larnach
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .262
.258

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jarren Duran
512.80
now 10
3
Trevor Larnach
512.80
now 3
3
Runshigher is better
Jarren Duran
2033.40
now 29
18
Trevor Larnach
2033.40
now 26
20
RBIhigher is better
Jarren Duran
2041
now 33
21
Trevor Larnach
2041
now 17
13
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jarren Duran
.00013.20
now 10
6
Trevor Larnach
.00013.20
now 2
2
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJarren Duran — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.66
Hold · leans buyTrevor Larnach — hold.conf 0.60
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