MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COL · CF
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MIN · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Trevor Larnach.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and average. Jake McCarthy’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Trevor Larnach wins 3 categories (HR, R, AVG); Jake McCarthy wins 2 (RBI, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jake McCarthy
84.9
Trevor Larnach
87.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jake McCarthy
25.2%
Trevor Larnach
34.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jake McCarthy
5.2%
Trevor Larnach
7.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jake McCarthy
37.6%
Trevor Larnach
29.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jake McCarthy
13.1%
Trevor Larnach
10.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jake McCarthy
.305
Trevor Larnach
.339
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jake McCarthy
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .288
.252
Trevor Larnach
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .262
.261

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jake McCarthy
55.20
now 4
1
Trevor Larnach
55.20
now 3
3
Runshigher is better
Jake McCarthy
2029.60
now 20
17
Trevor Larnach
2029.60
now 26
21
RBIhigher is better
Jake McCarthy
2029.40
now 25
21
Trevor Larnach
2029.40
now 17
14
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jake McCarthy
.00013.20
now 10
8
Trevor Larnach
.00013.20
now 2
2
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighJake McCarthy — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.77
Hold · leans buyTrevor Larnach — hold.conf 0.60
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