Rest of Season Projection
OwenCategoryTrevor
9HR ←7
28R →41
50RBI ←27
5SB ←3
.194AVG →.240
Current Season
OwenCategoryTrevor
5HR ←3
17R →26
30RBI ←17
3SB ←2
.234AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
Trevor Larnach
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.317)
Owen Caissie: 9 HR / 28 R. Trevor Larnach: 7 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).