Is Jake McCarthy a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Jake McCarthy's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

596 PA · week 31

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Jake McCarthy

COL·LF

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.321) — BABIP 0.326 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

McCarthy is a hold — league-average skill, quiet profile

His expected wOBA is .321, six points above the league average of .315, and he has 596 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA sits at .349, so his line is running .028 hotter than his skill, and the driver is his BABIP of .326. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 462, so that gap is more luck than skill and some of it will come back. The underlying contact is not a story either: 85.3 mph average exit velocity against a league average of 89.0, and a 28.1% hard-hit rate against 40.0%. He does make contact at a 15.9% strikeout rate, which keeps the floor steady, and his expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample. That is roughly league-average with nothing unstable pulling either direction. Hold. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG is a drop-tier drag — hold only as rotational filler, not a starter.

VS His Norm

Barrel %5.4%—+2.2% ▲vs his ~3.2% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.321)
babipNOISEBABIP 0.326 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo85.3 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.7 mphvs his norm —

462 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %28.1%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−11.9%vs his norm —

462 / 50 BBE

Barrel %5.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.6%vs his norm +2.2% ▲

462 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.321

lg avg .315 ▲+.006vs his norm —

596 / 160 PA

wOBA.349

lg avg .315 ▲+.034vs his norm —

596 / 200 PA

Strikeout %15.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.1%vs his norm —

596 / 60 PA

Walk %5.0%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.5%vs his norm —

596 / 120 PA

BABIP.326

lg avg .295 ▲+.031vs his norm +.025 ▲BABIP is above his ~.301 norm — expect it to fall.

462 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.2%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —

596 / 50 PA

Chase %37.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+9.3%vs his norm —

596 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 5.4%→4.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.4% (signal) tempered to career ~3.2% → projected 4.7%.

BABIP 0.326→0.321 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.326 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.315 (xBA 0.274) → 0.321.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (10 in 50 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons