254 PA · week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY
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Jo Adell
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Adell is a buy-low — his bat is better than his line shows.
His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample, now at 46.1% — six points above the league average and past the point where contact quality becomes reliable. His expected wOBA is .338, .023 above league, yet his actual wOBA is .294, dragged down by a .275 BABIP that is 20 points below the league norm. BABIP requires around 800 balls in play to stabilize, and he has only 180, so that gap is noise, not a reflection of his skill. The underlying numbers say he is making above-average contact. The surface results are the slump; the underlying is the truth. Buy low.
Buy Low
med0.69
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.275 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.2 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL180 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL180 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL180 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.338
lg avg .315 ▲+.023trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL254 / 160 PA
wOBA.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL254 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL254 / 60 PA
Walk %2.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL254 / 120 PA
BABIP.275
lg avg .295 ▼−.020too early to trust
NOISE180 / 800 BIP