MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Carmen Mlodzinski.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Anthony Kay’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carmen Mlodzinski wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Anthony Kay wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Anthony Kay
95.8
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
10.9%
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
18.6%
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Anthony Kay
33.1%
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
39.5%
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Anthony Kay
8.8%
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Anthony Kay
.346
Carmen Mlodzinski
.339
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Anthony Kay
3.355.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
4.79
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.355.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.64
WHIPlower is better
Anthony Kay
1.311.49
now 1.40
1.38
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.311.49
now 1.42
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Anthony Kay
4051.60
now 42
34
Carmen Mlodzinski
4051.60
now 46
39
Winshigher is better
Anthony Kay
.8006.20
now 5
35
Carmen Mlodzinski
.8006.20
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAnthony Kay — sell.conf 0.87
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.80
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