MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Yusei Kikuchi
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Yusei Kikuchi.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Carmen Mlodzinski’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Yusei Kikuchi wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Carmen Mlodzinski wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Yusei Kikuchi
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.6%
Yusei Kikuchi
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.6%
Yusei Kikuchi
23.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.4%
Yusei Kikuchi
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.2%
Yusei Kikuchi
42.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.2%
Yusei Kikuchi
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.339
Yusei Kikuchi
.340
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
2.946.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.64
Yusei Kikuchi
2.946.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.81
4.19
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.201.69
now 1.42
1.38
Yusei Kikuchi
1.201.69
now 1.58
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
4051.60
now 46
40
Yusei Kikuchi
4051.60
now 33
43
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.0007
now 4
25
Yusei Kikuchi
.0007
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.80
Hold · wait & seeYusei Kikuchi — hold.conf 0.55
Tweet