week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Yusei Kikuchi
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.77); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 83ERA 4.17WHIP 1.31W 0–0SV 0
Kikuchi is a hold — league average, nothing driving action.
ROS projects K 33 YTD → 83 ROS, ERA 5.81 YTD → 4.17 ROS, WHIP 1.58 YTD → 1.31 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.2%—−0.6% ▼vs his ~23.8% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.77)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
94 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
94 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.340
lg avg .315 ▲+.025vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
142 / 200 TBF
xERA4.77
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.67vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
142 / 200 TBF
ERA5.81
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.71vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
31 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm −0.6% ▼
142 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.9%vs his norm +1.5% ▲Walk % is above his ~8.4% norm — expect it to fall.
142 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.352
lg avg .295 ▲+.057vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
94 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.2%→23.6%signal83 K — K% 23.2% (signal) lifted to career ~23.8% → projected 23.6% over ~76 remaining IP.
xERA 4.77noise4.17 ERA — xERA 4.77 (noise) blended 10% skill / 90% league 4.10 at 31 IP.
BB% 9.9% + contactnoise1.31 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.302 gives a 1.43 skill WHIP, blended 1…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep83 K ROS, 4.17 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.