Who's more valuable, rest of season
Eric Lauer.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Eric Lauer wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Eric Lauer
91.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.1%
Eric Lauer
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
16.9%
Eric Lauer
15.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.2%
Eric Lauer
32.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
46.2%
Eric Lauer
35.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.2%
Eric Lauer
11.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.350
Eric Lauer
.341
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.506.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.87
Eric Lauer
3.506.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.95
4.67
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.271.54
now 1.47
1.41
Eric Lauer
1.271.54
now 1.39
1.34
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4044.60
now 39
38
Eric Lauer
4044.60
now 30
38
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0008
now 5
3–6
Eric Lauer
.0008
now 2
1–3
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
SellEric Lauer — sell.conf 0.81