Who's more valuable, rest of season
Steven Matz.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Steven Matz wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.1
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.2%
Steven Matz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
15.4%
Steven Matz
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
28.9%
Steven Matz
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
48.0%
Steven Matz
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Steven Matz
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.360
Steven Matz
.370
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.775.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
5.03
Steven Matz
3.775.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.27
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.40
Steven Matz
1.151.56
now 1.24
1.37
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4078.40
now 39
65
Steven Matz
4078.40
now 35
66
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
1.6012.40
now 5
5–10
Steven Matz
1.6012.40
now 4
4–10
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90