Who's more valuable, rest of season
Steven Matz.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Steven Matz wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.5
Steven Matz
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.7%
Steven Matz
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
19.1%
Steven Matz
17.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.4%
Steven Matz
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
41.7%
Steven Matz
35.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
8.4%
Steven Matz
11.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.322
Steven Matz
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.975
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.29
Steven Matz
3.975
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
4.77
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.35
Steven Matz
1.151.56
now 1.24
1.33
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4051.40
now 39
8
Steven Matz
4051.40
now 35
10
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0006.60
now 5
1–1
Steven Matz
.0006.60
now 4
1–1
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Civale — hold.conf 0.60
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.86