MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kyle Leahy.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kyle Leahy wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.5
Kyle Leahy
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.7%
Kyle Leahy
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
19.1%
Kyle Leahy
22.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.4%
Kyle Leahy
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
41.7%
Kyle Leahy
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
8.4%
Kyle Leahy
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.322
Kyle Leahy
.337
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.984.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.28
Kyle Leahy
3.984.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.25
4.59
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.241.65
now 1.47
1.35
Kyle Leahy
1.241.65
now 1.56
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4060.80
now 39
9
Kyle Leahy
4060.80
now 46
10
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0006.60
now 5
12
Kyle Leahy
.0006.60
now 5
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Civale — hold.conf 0.60
SellKyle Leahy — sell.conf 0.78
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