week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Kyle Leahy
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Leahy is a sell — skill is below league with no luck story.
His expected ERA of 6.23 is more than two runs above the league average, and he has faced 250 batters — past the point where xERA becomes reliable. His actual ERA tracks with it, so there is no bad-luck excuse. He allows hard contact at a 49.7% rate and barrels at 11.3%, both well above league average and stable. His strikeout rate is 18.4%, below average, and his walk rate is roughly league average. His xERA has been stepping up across the sample, confirming the trend. The line is what it is, and it is not pretty. Sell.
Sell
high0.90
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.23 +2.13 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed49.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+9.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL177 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed11.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL177 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.383
lg avg .315 ▲+.068trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL250 / 200 TBF
xERA6.23
lg avg 4.10 ▲+2.13trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL250 / 200 TBF
ERA4.25
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.15too early to trust
NOISE55 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL250 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL250 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.333
lg avg .295 ▲+.038too early to trust
NOISE177 / 800 BIP