MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Carson Whisenhunt
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 (K, W); Carson Whisenhunt wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Carson Whisenhunt
92.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.6%
Carson Whisenhunt
15.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
17.4%
Carson Whisenhunt
18.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.8%
Carson Whisenhunt
37.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.7%
Carson Whisenhunt
47.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Carson Whisenhunt
11.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.340
Carson Whisenhunt
.408
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
2.875.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.65
Carson Whisenhunt
2.875.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.231.54
now 1.47
1.39
Carson Whisenhunt
1.231.54
now 1.41
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4052.20
now 39
30
Carson Whisenhunt
4052.20
now 6
16
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0006.60
now 5
25
Carson Whisenhunt
.0006.60
now 1
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.80
Hold · wait & seeCarson Whisenhunt — hold.conf 0.50
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